All posts tagged: ENSO

El Nino is active now in India, may get stronger this monsoon: IMD

El Nino is active now in India, may get stronger this monsoon: IMD

El Nino conditions are currently active over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and are expected to strengthen during this southwest monsoon season, according to the latest climate bulletin from the Earth System Science Organisation (ESSO) and the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Scientists figure a natural El Nino, human-caused climate change. (AP) The agencies confirm that both the ocean and atmosphere now show clear El Nino signals. Sea surface temperatures are above normal, and warmer water is also present below the ocean surface. ALSO READ | India braces for harsher summer, weaker monsoon as El Niño grips equatorial Pacific What is El Nino? It is a climate pattern that develops in the equatorial Pacific Ocean when sea surface temperatures become warmer than normal. This warming changes wind patterns and air pressure, which then affects weather across the world. It happens when the usual trade winds weaken, allowing warm water that is normally pushed toward the western Pacific to spread toward the central and eastern Pacific. As a result, weather patterns shift globally, often causing heavy rain and …

Southwest monsoon reaches Kerala, marks official beginning of rainy season

Southwest monsoon reaches Kerala, marks official beginning of rainy season

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced the arrival of the southwest monsoon over Kerala, marking the official beginning of India`s four-month rainy season, reported the PTI. The monsoon reached Kerala on June 4, a few days later than its usual onset date of 1 June. Earlier forecasts had suggested the monsoon would arrive as early as May 26, but its progress was delayed. According to the IMD, the southwest monsoon has now advanced across the entire Lakshadweep region, Kerala and Mahe, as well as parts of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. The weather system has also expanded over large sections of the Arabian Sea, the Comorin area and several parts of the Bay of Bengal, indicating a steady progression across the country. The arrival of the monsoon in Kerala is closely watched as it signals the start of the crucial June to September rainfall season, which is vital for agriculture, water resources and the wider economy. IMD revises rainfall forecast Last week, the weather department revised its seasonal rainfall outlook, forecasting below-normal rainfall for the …

El Nino Is Brewing Again: Should India Brace For A Deficient Monsoon In 2026? | India News

El Nino Is Brewing Again: Should India Brace For A Deficient Monsoon In 2026? | India News

Last Updated:March 13, 2026, 17:35 IST What is worrying meteorologists is not just the possibility of El Nino itself, but how strong it could become. El Nino occurs when surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean warm unusually (PTI) Scientists are increasingly seeing early signals that El Nino conditions could develop in 2026, and possibly strengthen as the year progresses. According to recent reports, climate models suggest that the current La Nina phase in the Pacific Ocean is weakening, with ocean–atmosphere patterns shifting towards neutral conditions before potentially flipping to El Nino by mid-year. Forecasts from global weather agencies indicate roughly a 60 per cent chance of El Nino emerging between June and August, with the probability rising further toward the latter half of the year. What is worrying meteorologists is not just the possibility of El Nino itself, but how strong it could become. India is already seeing an intense summer. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) and international climate centres are closely monitoring the Pacific because some model projections indicate the event …